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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has made 4.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The Bucks rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The Bucks will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard comes in at the 99th percentile for free throws converted, logging a monstrous 6.4 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (13.7).

The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup against Chicago is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game this year when the Bulls are on their home court (least in the NBA).

Damian Lillard should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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