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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has sunk 51.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Damian Lillard has successfully made 5.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most treys per game in the league this year (3.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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