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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/3/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has made 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year.

The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have compiled 21.2 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 99th percentile for free throws made, averaging an enormous 6.8 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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