Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 25.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 96th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.8 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The 10th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 7 games has been the Bucks.
The Bulls have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has sunk a measly 25.9% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly less than his 36.0 rate last season.
The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (13.7).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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