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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has scored an impressive 28.4 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 24.7 points per game last year.

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.0 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 8.7 mark last season.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the New York Knicks is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).

The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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