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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has put up 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's put up over the course of the year.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 118.6 points per game ranks 4th-best in the league this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted 9.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (7th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have fallen this season to 8.7 per game.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making this a challenging matchup.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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