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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to shooting, the Bucks's remarkable 118.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers are at home (7th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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