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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 119.4 points per game ranks 4th-best in the league this year.

The matchup against Orlando is a good one for three-point shots; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 6th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.3%).

The 5th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have tailed off this season to 8.6 per game.

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard has converted a mere 6.4 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 8.8 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

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