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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.4 minutes per game this year.

With respect to scoring, the Bucks's fantastic 119.9 points per game places 3rd-highest in the league this year.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Damian Lillard should see a rise in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.7 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 mark last season.

Damian Lillard has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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