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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has successfully made 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder, creating a good matchup.

The Bucks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from downtown have declined this year to 8.6 per game.

The matchup vs. Josh Giddey is a challenging one for scoring; when defending fellow starting PGs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 42.6% of their field goals (13th percentile).

The Bucks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted just 7.0 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 9.6 rate last year.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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