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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
  • In regard to offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 three-pointers per game (most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, making this a strong matchup.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last season's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this season to 24.4.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.6 three-pointers per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 11.3 rate last year.
  • The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • In comparison to last season's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of foul shot attempts has declined this season to 7.1 foul shot attempts per game.

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