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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 24.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 96th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.9%).

The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.

As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 8.6 per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of foul shots has diminished this season to 7.2 foul shots per game.

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