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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 19.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Bucks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.7 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly lower than his 11.3 mark last year.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 7.2 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 9.6 rate last year.

Damian Lillard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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