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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on three-pointers (22nd-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a good matchup.
  • The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last year's 32.2 mark, Damian Lillard's points per game have tailed off this year to 24.6.
  • Compared to last season's 4.2 rate, Damian Lillard's three-pointers hit have fallen this season to 2.9 per game.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the 76ers (saving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

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