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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.

While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been among the best at getting to the foul line recently: best in the NBA over the last 10 games with 27.8 free throw attempts per game.

This year, opposing teams have attempted 22.0 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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