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Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 95th percentile, tallying a monstrous 24.1 points per game while playing away from home this year.Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.0 minutes per game while on the road this year.The Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.The quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Compared to last year's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's three-point attempts have been reduced this year to 8.6 per game.The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).In contrast to last year's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of foul shots has regressed this year to 8.0 foul shots per game.
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