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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the least offensive boards per game (7.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have dropped this season to 8.5 per game.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on three-pointers (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Relative to last year's 8.8 mark, Damian Lillard's free throws made have dropped this year to 7.4 per game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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