Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 96th percentile, putting up an enormous 25.5 points per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.9 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have scored 21.2 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
The fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.6 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last year.
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 9.6 rate, Damian Lillard's number of free throws has been reduced this year to 8.0 free throws per game.
Damian Lillard ought to see a decline in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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