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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has played 34.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • In regard to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 126.2 points per game ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2).
  • The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Detroit Pistons).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has posted a measly 25.0 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.5 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • In contrast to last season's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 7.8 free throw attempts per game.
  • Damian Lillard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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