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Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-129/-106).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -129.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year.The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, creating a favorable matchup.The 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.The Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last season's 32.2 rate, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this season to 25.2.Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 rate last season.The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Bucks.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.In contrast to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throws has dropped this season to 8.0 free throws per game.
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