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Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Compared to last year's 7.1 clip, Damian Lillard's missed 3-point shots have declined this year to 5.5 per game.Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.3 minutes per game this year.When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's outstanding 126.6 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games.The Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games at home.This year, opposing teams have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 32.2 mark, Damian Lillard's points per game have fallen this year to 25.1.This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have scored 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).Relative to last season's 9.6 rate, Damian Lillard's number of free throw attempts has fallen this season to 8.0 free throw attempts per game.The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are on the road (8th-least in the league).
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