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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has put up 25.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.

Damian Lillard has successfully made 3.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year playing at home.

Damian Lillard has averaged 35.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game places best in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.0 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 9.6 mark last season.

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