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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -151.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 3.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
  • Damian Lillard has made 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season at home.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
  • In terms of shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 127.0 points per game places strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, creating a positive matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Relative to last year's 9.6 rate, Damian Lillard's number of foul shot attempts has fallen this year to 8.1 foul shot attempts per game.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.

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