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Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-151/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -151.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Damian Lillard has tallied 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 3.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.Damian Lillard has made 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season at home.Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.In terms of shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 127.0 points per game places strongest in the league over the last 25 games.This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, creating a positive matchup.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).Relative to last year's 9.6 rate, Damian Lillard's number of foul shot attempts has fallen this year to 8.1 foul shot attempts per game.This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.
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