My Account Log Out

reorder

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has played 35.0 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Damian Lillard has averaged just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.9 threes per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a good matchup.

The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have diminished this season to 8.8 per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nets).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has sunk a measly 7.6 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.8 mark last season.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™