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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

In contrast to last season's 0.1 clip, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this season to 0.0 per game.

The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

The New York Knicks have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have been reduced this season to 8.7 per game.

The matchup against the Knicks is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).

Damian Lillard has successfully made a measly 7.8 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.8 mark last year.

Damian Lillard should see a decline in production in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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