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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has played 35.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 122.6 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Damian Lillard will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has scored a mere 25.0 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 32.2 points per game last year.

Damian Lillard has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a difficult matchup.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

On the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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