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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/9/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's remarkable 117.1 points per game while at home measures as the 6th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 26.0 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The 6th-quickest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).

This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court, their opposition has attempted an enormous 25.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NBA).

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