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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's posted overall this year.

Damian Lillard has successfully made 4.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (19.7).

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Trail Blazers.

The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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