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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged overall this season.

Damian Lillard has successfully made 4.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this year on his home court.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 13th-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.5%).

The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

While playing on the road, the Celtics have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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