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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. the Magic is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (36.1%).
  • The Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
  • While playing at home, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Magic is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).
  • Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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