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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has scored 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's scored in all games this year.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • When playing at home, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The matchup against the Warriors is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (31.3%).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
  • The Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
  • Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player performance for all stats.

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