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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has scored 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's scored in all games this year.

Damian Lillard has converted 4.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage.

Damian Lillard has played 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Trail Blazers.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one for field goals; when the Rockets are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (39.0%).

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are the visiting squad (13th-least in the NBA).

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