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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 38.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 9.8 rate last year.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should lead to increased plays for the Trail Blazers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Monte Morris is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Morris is on the road and defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a measly 4.7 three-point shots per game (7th percentile).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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