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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 36.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.9 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 9.8 mark last season.

Damian Lillard has played 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a favorable one for field goals; when the Thunder are the visting squad, the other team have posted the 7th-highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (46.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Josh Giddey is a hard one for 3-pointers; when Giddey is on the visiting team and defending fellow starting PGs this year, they have made a measly 1.8 three-pointers per game (10th percentile).

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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