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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.8 rate last year.

Damian Lillard has converted a terrific 4.0 3-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 mark last season.

Damian Lillard has attempted 8.4 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.2 mark last year.

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jazz have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games while playing on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home (5.4).

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game when playing on the road this year (least in the league).

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