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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 11.1 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.8 rate last season.
  • Damian Lillard has sunk an impressive 4.2 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.2 rate last year.
  • Damian Lillard has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home this year.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted just 25.3 foul shots per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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