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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/2/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Detroit Pistons

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.3 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.8 mark last season.

Damian Lillard has made an impressive 4.2 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 rate last year.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 10th-highest three rate in the league this year (35.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.

The Pistons have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a lowly 25.8 foul shots per game when playing away from home this year (6th-least in the NBA).

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season when playing at home.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a hard one for 3-point attempts; away from their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-least three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.3).

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