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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2022

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.8 mark last year.

Damian Lillard has made an impressive 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.2 mark last year.

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year on the road, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA over this stretch of games: 94th percentile.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year on their home court.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a strong one; they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year with the home court advantage (19.4).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals over this stretch: 98th percentile.

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season when playing at home.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The matchup against Jamal Murray is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.4 free throws per game (76th percentile).

Damian Lillard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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