Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 29, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-139).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).
The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.7 treys per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 11.3 rate last year.
Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard should see a decline in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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