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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.4 minutes per game while at home this year.

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 6.8 3-point attempts per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers, labeling this as a good matchup.

Damian Lillard stands to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have diminished this year to 8.5 per game.

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The 5th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Clippers).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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