Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 7.0 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.4 three-pointers per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 mark last season.
Damian Lillard has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.