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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 8.7 per game this year.

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 21st-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on the road (6.8).

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

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