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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has sunk 4.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Trail Blazers.

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