Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has compiled 7.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Damian Lillard has tallied 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.
Damian Lillard figures to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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