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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 11/26/2024

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has tallied 8.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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