Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has totaled 6.6 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 97th percentile.
Damian Lillard has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Damian Lillard will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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