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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.0 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 7.3 assists per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.9 minutes per game this year.

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have snagged 8.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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