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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 7.5 assists per game on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.

The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 15.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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