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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 7.5 assists per game on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
  • The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
  • The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 15.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
  • Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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