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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has compiled 6.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 98th percentile.

Damian Lillard has averaged 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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