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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/9/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 6.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.
  • The Hornets have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The Hornets have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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