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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/9/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has totaled 6.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.

The Hornets have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Hornets have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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